Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 88.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard20 déc. 25, 02:10 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on December 31, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by checking official sources such as the White House website or news reports confirming Trump's status as sitting president on that date.
- The market resolves NO if Trump is not president on that date, including scenarios where he has resigned, been removed from office, or lost an election.
- If Trump dies in office, the market resolves NO.
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on Monday, January 20, 2025, and is the second President in American history to serve two nonconsecutive terms.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria