Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 85.9%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 oct. 25, 14:32 UTC2 janv. 28, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
KalshiWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve YES if on January 1 2028 Donald Trump is the President of the USA.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 847,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
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- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 86% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve YES if on January 1 2028 Donald Trump is the President of the USA.