Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Donald Trump 79.4%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
70
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 24, 16:41 UTC2 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
Manifold MarketsWho will be the 48th President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsNH-01 Democratic nominee?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
As of midnight US eastern time.
- Any person who ascends to the office of the presidency or the vice presidency will be added as an option.
- If this question does not have a well-defined answer pointing to a specific person -- if the office of the presidency does not exist or is vacant or is in substantial dispute -- then that would currently point to "Other", though I will break it out into its own option if it starts to seem likely.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 847,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Donald Trump à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2029.
- Comment Who will be the sitting president of the USA on January 1st 2029 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As of midnight US eastern time.