Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Donald Trump 79.4%En tête parmi 5 options
Donald Trump 79.4%Prévisionnistes
70
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 24, 16:41 UTC2 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump/sitting President refuses Supreme Court order, what happens next?
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Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRègles
As of midnight US eastern time.
- Any person who ascends to the office of the presidency or the vice presidency will be added as an option.
- If this question does not have a well-defined answer pointing to a specific person -- if the office of the presidency does not exist or is vacant or is in substantial dispute -- then that would currently point to "Other", though I will break it out into its own option if it starts to seem likely.
