Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Donald Trump 88.8%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 24, 16:40 UTC2 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRègles
This question resolves YES to the named individual who holds the office of President on the morning of 1 Jan 2027.
- This question does not resolve to non-named individuals (e.g. descriptions of persons).
- Feel free to add full names to the above list.
- @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-htqPnuht2Q@/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-stCshgR2O2
- @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-Q9Eng9RQyE
- @/cash/who-will-be-president-of-the-united-QCZs5nt5Ug (this question)
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 847,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Donald Trump à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves YES to the named individual who holds the office of President on the morning of 1 Jan 2027.