Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 88.8%
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2
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète6 juin 26, 18:42 UTC1 févr. 28, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "The paper that killed deep learning theory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Maybe I was too harsh on deep learning theory..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill transformer architectures lose their dominant position in deep learning before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill "Deep learning as program synthesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Dissolving the Deep Learning Sample Efficiency Gap is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
