Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.6%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 minutes
6 avr. 26, 18:23 UTC31 déc. 27, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWorlds 2026 Winning Region
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if China has active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2027.
- YES if: Active MOFCOM licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China MOFCOM export control registry
- US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates
- Reuters, Bloomberg, FT China trade reporting