Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026?
ChineOne-Off2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
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2
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète6 avr. 26, 18:23 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if China's Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) or State Council has active export control measures — including licensing requirements, quotas, or bans — specifically targeting silicon metal (MG-Si, HS 2804.69) on December 31, 2026.
- YES if: Active MOFCOM export licensing, quota, or ban on MG-Si in effect on Dec 31, 2026 NO if: MG-Si exports proceed under normal MFN conditions with no additional restrictions
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China MOFCOM export control registry (mofcom.gov.cn)
- China State Council / NDRC official trade policy announcements
- US Department of Commerce / BIS China trade policy updates