Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.9%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 23, 01:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will California decriminalize and/or legalize MDMA before 2027?
Manifold MarketsColorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if California decriminalizes or fully legalizes the possession and personal use of LSD.
- If a law is passed before 2027 that doesn't go into effect until 2027 or later, this market will still resolve YES.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+14.5pt70.3%
- Yes-14.5pt29.7%
- Volume total
- 353,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-1.0pt21%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volume total
- 499,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,2 k €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.0pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.5pt10.8%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-9.5pt12%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if California decriminalizes or fully legalizes the possession and personal use of LSD.