Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionMiddle East3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 78.7%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète14 oct. 23, 13:18 UTC1 janv. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Bibi still be the prime minister of Israel in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mamdani arrest Bibi before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Hamas agree to disarm by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
FutuurRègles
This will be closed, yes, if Netanyahu is no longer prime minister before or within the three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week.
- It will be closed No, if three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week, Netanyahu is still the Prime Minister, or if he remains Prime Minister after the next Israeli parliamentary election.
- The next election is scheduled for 27 October 2026.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This will be closed, yes, if Netanyahu is no longer prime minister before or within the three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week.