Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionMoyen-Orient2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète14 oct. 23, 13:18 UTC1 janv. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami?
Manifold MarketsWill Bibi Netanyahu be convicted or admit wrongdoing in any of his trials?
Manifold MarketsWill Bibi still be the prime minister of Israel in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mamdani arrest Bibi before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Hamas agree to disarm by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This will be closed, yes, if Netanyahu is no longer prime minister before or within the three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week.
- It will be closed No, if three months after an Israeli ceasefire that lasts more than a week, Netanyahu is still the Prime Minister, or if he remains Prime Minister after the next Israeli parliamentary election.
- The next election is scheduled for 27 October 2026.
