Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.4%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
13 juin 26, 04:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Bibi Netanyahu lose power during or in the aftermath after the 2023 Hamas-Israel War
Manifold MarketsWill any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
Manifold MarketsNetanyahu out by which date?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump endorse Netanyahu?
KalshiWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if both of the following conditions are met on or before December 31, 2027:
- Losing the Premiership: Following the next Israeli legislative election (scheduled by October 27, 2026, or held earlier as a snap election), Benjamin Netanyahu is not the Prime Minister of Israel in the government successfully sworn in immediately after that election.
- Relocating to Miami: Within six months of the newly formed government being sworn in (and no later than December 31, 2027), Benjamin Netanyahu leaves Israel and takes up residence in the Miami metropolitan area (or South Florida) for a continuous period of at least 30 days.
- This must be confirmed by reputable national or international news organizations (e.g., The Times of Israel, Reuters, Associated Press, or The New York Times).
- This market will resolve to NO if:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Netanyahu lose the election and run away to Miami? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria