Will at least 200 Tesla Cybercabs be registered for public robotaxi service by December 31, 2026?
TechOne-OffManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (99%)
Résolu: 25 oct. 2026, 14:11
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Tendances
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]
Manifold MarketsWill Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
Manifold MarketsWill an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Background (all figures as of mid September 2026): Tesla launched its purpose built Cybercab (two seats, no steering wheel, no pedals) in Austin, Texas on September 3, 2026, with 45 Cybercabs registered in Texas DMV autonomous vehicle records.
- That count stood at 49 as of September 8, 2026.
- Cybercab rides are currently offered in Austin only, and Tesla's Robotaxi support page says Cybercab will serve additional areas "in the future" without naming a city or a date.
- At the launch event Tesla did not name a second Cybercab city, did not give an expansion calendar, and did not disclose a volume production or consumer sale date.
- On September 3, 2026, NHTSA opened Audit Query AQ26002 into Tesla's self certification that the Cybercab meets Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards, with an estimated affected population of about 1,000 Cybercabs.
- This market takes no position on whether any of that is good or bad.