Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028?
Latin AmericaOne-OffIATech1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.6%
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4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète15 juil. 26, 02:17 UTC30 juin 28, 23:59 UTC
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This market resolves YES if, before July 1, 2028 at 12:00 a.m. São Paulo time—meaning no later than June 30, 2028 at 11:59 p.m. BRT—at least one company offers an operational, on-demand, fully driverless passenger ride-hailing service within the municipality of São Paulo, Brazil.
- For a service to qualify, all of the following must be true:
- Available to the general public: Any ordinary eligible member of the public must be able to create an account and request a ride without needing a personal invitation, employment or affiliation with the operator, participation in a closed beta, or case-by-case approval.
- A normal app signup, identity verification, payment method, age requirement, terms of service, or brief generally applicable waitlist does not disqualify the service, provided access is being routinely granted and is not meaningfully restricted to a selected test group.
- On-demand taxi or ride-hailing service: Passengers must be able to request transportation between passenger-selected pickup and drop-off points within a defined service area.
- Fixed-route shuttles, buses, sightseeing circuits, airport people movers, and vehicles available only for demonstrations or prearranged test events do not qualify.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028? doit être résolu le 30 juin 2028.
- Comment Will an ungated, fully driverless robotaxi service be available to the public in São Paulo before July 1, 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if, before July 1, 2028 at 12:00 a.m. São Paulo time—meaning no later than June 30, 2028 at 11:59 p.m. BRT—at least one company offers an operational, on-demand, fully driverless passenger ride-hailing service within the municipality of São Paulo, Brazil.