Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
PolitiqueOne-OffEuropePolitique américaineÉlection2mois
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Type de question
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
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Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète7 juil. 24, 06:39 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
- Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet in a listed calendar quarter (Jan-Mar, Apr-Jun, Jul-Sep, Oct-Dec).
- Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
- Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
- All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
- The only cabinet positions that will cause this to resolve are those listed under the "Cabinet Ministers" section of the webpage above.
