Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 25 juil. 2026, 09:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelle2024-Q3 0%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète7 juil. 24, 6:3930 sept. 26, 22:59
Tendances
0%
100%
100%
0%
100%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
2026-Q458%
Tendance du volume
$1010 juil.11j de données25 juil.
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Cabinet members as per https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers
- Resolves YES if any member of cabinet resigns, is fired, dies, or otherwise ceases to hold a position in cabinet in a listed calendar quarter (Jan-Mar, Apr-Jun, Jul-Sep, Oct-Dec).
- Being promoted to another cabinet position does not count as leaving.
- Losing one cabinet role when multiple are held (and thus remaining in cabinet) does not count as leaving.
- All cabinet members being replaced simultaneously e.g. at a general election will resolve YES.
- The only cabinet positions that will cause this to resolve are those listed under the "Cabinet Ministers" section of the webpage above.