KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 20, 2029 79%En tête parmi 6 options
Before Jan 20, 2029 79%Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
43,5 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 20, 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
12 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 20, 2029
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Any Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon a Cabinet member?
KalshiWill any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Cabinet member to leave office?
PredictItIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. House of Representatives
- The cabinet is defined as the following: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, and White House Chief of Staff.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
