If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine2a
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Données au 23 oct. 2026, 19:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 26, 02:13 UTC3 janv. 29, 17:00 UTC
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Condition: Democrats win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Democratic Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Republicans or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if the U.S. House adopts at least one article of impeachment against a sitting or former Cabinet-level official (the Vice President, the head of an executive department, or another official with Cabinet rank) between January 3, 2027 and January 3, 2029 (inclusive).
- Impeaching the President does not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Republicans keep the House.
