Will any pandemic scientist experts besides Fauci go to prison before 2050?
PolitiqueOne-OffSanté et médecineCriminalité et justiceManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
3 oct. 26, 21:25 UTC31 déc. 49, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2050, any scientist, epidemiologist, virologist, or scientific advisor who played a prominent role in the COVID-19 pandemic response, funding, or origins research (excluding Dr. Anthony Fauci) is sentenced to and serves time in a state, federal, or international prison.
- To ensure clear, objective resolution, the following specific individuals are explicitly pre-approved as qualifying "pandemic scientist experts" for the purposes of this market:
- Dr. David Morens (former Senior Advisor to the NIAID Director, who pleaded guilty to federal conspiracy in August 2026)
- Dr. Peter Daszak (president of EcoHealth Alliance)
- Dr. Francis Collins (former NIH Director)