Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard20 janv. 26, 20:04 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by which date?
PolymarketWill a new fighter jet enter service (publicly) in the United States armed forces before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES on verified report (news media, official US.gov source or other relevant org) that a person has died either on Greenland or in the territorial waters of Greenland before market close while in the employment of any branch of the United States armed forces.