Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
ChinaOne-Off13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 83.6%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète24 oct. 23, 07:40 UTC31 déc. 39, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force
- Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)
- Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other
- Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2039.
- Comment Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force