Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 60.3%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 58 minutes
En retard2 sept. 24, 22:02 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?
Manifold MarketsWill a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if any city in the UK has a self-driving taxi service generally available to the public.
- This includes via a waitlist, if the waitlist is open to the public.
- This service only needs to cover part of the city; Waymo's service area in LA would be sufficient to resolve YES, if LA was in the UK.
