Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 69.2% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028? doit être résolu le 1 avril 2028.

Comment Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Going by the NYT's list, or one of comparable prestigiousness if the NYT's goes away.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.5pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.6pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

3,2 M €

Volume 24h

136,5 k €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.3pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.0pt18.3%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.5pt56.6%
• Gemini-4.2pt30.6%
• ChatGPT-1.1pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• December 31,+5.5pt82%
• November 30,-3.0pt61%

+9 résultats de plus

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.8%
• Google-6.0pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.3%

+12 résultats de plus

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