Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 07:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 90.3%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 août 26, 19:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI or Google have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta or Google have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kimi or DeepSeek have the stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta or Thinking Machines have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- As judged by Artificial Analysis scores and maybe some combination of other popular meta-benchmarks (ECI, etc.) if there is a tie.
- Resolves YES if the first company is ranked higher and resolves NO if the second company is ranked higher.