Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
One-OffHealth & MedicineRégulation4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75.5%
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète8 mai 23, 20:39 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
"MDMA-like" refers to behavioral effects, rather than chemical similarity.
- I can see a world where both "nontoxic" and "MDMA-like" become disputed criteria.
- Since I don't know much about pharmacology (or recreational drug use, lol), I may defer to a random selection of people I know to help resolve this market.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : "MDMA-like" refers to behavioral effects, rather than chemical similarity.