Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72%
Prévisionnistes
66
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète19 juin 22, 02:06 UTC1 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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ForecastExRègles
Market resolved if someone shows me a "Winds of Winter" novel attempt, written by an AI that has cleared read or understands the other books, that I like
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has extended the market close date to 2027 (instead of resolving N/A due to no submissions by the original deadline).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Market resolved if someone shows me a "Winds of Winter" novel attempt, written by an AI that has cleared read or understands the other books, that I like