Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.3%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
26 juil. 26, 18:29 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before January 1, 2030, an artificial intelligence (AI) agent or autonomous software algorithm is directly convicted of a criminal offense in a recognized court of law.
- For a YES resolution, the following conditions must be met:
- The AI agent itself must be formally named as a defendant in a criminal case and found guilty or convicted by a court (local, national, federal, or international).
- The legal system must treat the AI agent itself as the criminally liable party, rather than attributing the liability to a human developer, user, or corporate owner.
- The market will resolve to NO under any of the following circumstances: