Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.5%
Prévisionnistes
99
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète13 janv. 26, 16:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 16:42 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send troops to help Iran within the next 24 months?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- ‼️This market resolves YES if the United States deploys ground troops to Iran.
- Trump has stated that military intervention "doesn't mean boots on the ground," suggesting that airstrikes, cyber operations, or other non-ground-based military actions would not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- The market resolves NO if no U.S. ground troops are deployed to Iran by December 31, 2026‼️.
- Nationwide protests began on December 28, 2025, when merchants at Tehran's Grand Bazaar closed their shops over the Iranian rial's plummeting value, and demonstrations quickly spread nationwide with grievances evolving from economic concerns to broader opposition against Iran's clerical establishment.
- Violence in the country has led to dozens of deaths and arrests.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will America send troops to Iran? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will America send troops to Iran? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will America send troops to Iran? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will America send troops to Iran? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria