Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 99%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 24, 08:34 UTC31 déc. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.
- The questions cover most major branches of modern mathematics -- from computationally intensive problems in number theory and real analysis to abstract questions in algebraic geometry and category theory.
- Solving a typical problem requires multiple hours of effort from a researcher in the relevant branch of mathematics, and for the upper end questions, multiple days.
- FrontierMath uses new, unpublished problems and automated verification to reliably evaluate models while minimizing risk of data contamination.
- Current state-of-the-art AI models solve under 2% of problems, revealing a vast gap between AI capabilities and the prowess of the mathematical community.
- As AI systems advance toward expert-level mathematical abilities, FrontierMath offers a rigorous testbed that quantifies their progress.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.