Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.9%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
31 oct. 25, 11:55 UTC31 oct. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen with the recent lawsuits by major record labels against AI music startups?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.
- On October 30, 2025, one of the firms, Udio, "settled" with the plaintiffs, and the terms of the settlement resulted in the effective closure of their service.
- Suno, another firm, is facing the same claims and engaged in largely the same behavior, but is defending itself with a different argument - that the labels have unclean hands because they engaged in an anticompetitive scheme to suppress AI generation for their own benefit, and is using discovery to try to prove that argument.
- If they cannot find evidence of this alleged scheme, they may shortly "settle" as well.
- This market will resolve to YES if, on Halloween 2026, it is not possible to generate music of the same quality for the same or lower price as it was on October 30, 2025 before Udio closed, download it in a lossless format, and possess full ownership and distribution rights.
- The "price" might be a subscription fee, or per-track.