Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.2%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard31 oct. 25, 11:55 UTC31 oct. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.
- On October 30, 2025, one of the firms, Udio, "settled" with the plaintiffs, and the terms of the settlement resulted in the effective closure of their service.
- Suno, another firm, is facing the same claims and engaged in largely the same behavior, but is defending itself with a different argument - that the labels have unclean hands because they engaged in an anticompetitive scheme to suppress AI generation for their own benefit, and is using discovery to try to prove that argument.
- If they cannot find evidence of this alleged scheme, they may shortly "settle" as well.
- This market will resolve to YES if, on Halloween 2026, it is not possible to generate music of the same quality for the same or lower price as it was on October 30, 2025 before Udio closed, download it in a lossless format, and possess full ownership and distribution rights.
- The "price" might be a subscription fee, or per-track.
Marchés ouverts
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : At the time of posting, litigation, led by Comcast and its subsidiaries, was underway against all of the leading AI music generation firms.