Will AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?

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Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 26 octobre 2026.

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Will AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction? doit être résolu le 18 novembre 2100.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.9pt89.6%
• Anthropic+0.8pt9.4%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

3,2 M €

Volume 24h

137,9 k €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.5pt27.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+4.5pt23.5%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.9pt15.7%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.2pt56%
• Gemini-4.5pt30.9%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• December 31,+5.0pt82%
• November 30,-3.5pt61%

+9 résultats de plus

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt55.7%
• Google-5.5pt35%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.2%

+12 résultats de plus

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