Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.7%
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68
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète3 mars 24, 23:11 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the next major competitive sport where AI beat top human player
Manifold MarketsWill any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Lego or Bionicle crossover with Magic the Gathering by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to Yes if an AI has the strength to beat world champions in Magic the Gathering before the end of 2026
- If AI were able to beat the world champion in any one of the major format, Draft, Constructed or Sealed, it would count as a resolve Yes.
- The AI doesnt have to actually be participating in the world championship (it likely would not), but as long as the AI demonstrated consistent strength in beating current world champion in repeated games (70% win rate with 10+ games played) that would count as a Yes.
- AI doesn't necessarily have to beat the current world champion.
- Beating any of the top 20 in the world within past 3 years is sufficient.
- The goal is to demonstrate that the AI has the strength to likely win against the world champion.
