Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 74%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète1 mars 24, 14:05 UTC1 janv. 31, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketGerman "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)
Manifold MarketsNext Governing Mayor of Berlin?
PolymarketWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 1.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending September, 10, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
resolves yes if AfD is part of the government of Germany (at the national level) at any point prior to December 31, 2030
Marchés ouverts
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Volume 24h
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+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
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POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
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- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : resolves yes if AfD is part of the government of Germany (at the national level) at any point prior to December 31, 2030