![Will Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FHankyUSA%2Frj8afyi67k.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2026 1%En tête parmi 4 options
2026 1%Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète22 juil. 24, 14:59 UTC1 janv. 28, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
On December 30, 2023 Justin Murphy said, "we need a prediction market for Aella reverting to Christianity in the next 5 years." In response @Aella created the question @/Aella/will-i-aella-convert-to-christianit.
- I would like to collect the mana of YES holders sooner rather than later, so I created this question.
- I plan to resolve answers soon after the end of each year.
- If @Aella converts within a given year, then I will resolve that year and all following years to YES.
- For the purposes of this question (based on Justin Murphy's tweet and @Aella's question), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism.
- Tweet from Justin Murphy:
