Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 71%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète9 juil. 25, 11:12 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"?
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PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Steve Wozniak, the co-founder of Apple Inc., proposed "The Coffee Test" as a benchmark for evaluating the capabilities of autonomous robots.
- The test requires a robot to enter an unfamiliar house, find the kitchen, identify the necessary tools and ingredients, and then prepare a cup of coffee.
- The Coffee Test challenges a robot's ability to navigate unknown environments, recognize objects, manipulate tools and materials, and follow a sequence of tasks to achieve a specific goal.
- While there have been significant advancements in robotics, no robot has yet passed The Coffee Test.
- Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" within a specific time frame before January 1st, 2028?
- Resolution criteria:
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Steve Wozniak, the co-founder of Apple Inc., proposed "The Coffee Test" as a benchmark for evaluating the capabilities of autonomous robots.