Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028?
Health & MedicineOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète16 août 24, 00:43 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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FutuurRègles
Glioblastoma (GBM) is a malignant brain tumor which has an overall survival average of >2 years.
- Current FDA approved treatments which positively impact survival include surgical resection, temozolomide chemotherapy, radiation, and tumor treating fields (TTF).
- The most recent approval which would qualify was a TTF device called Optune, which was approved in 2015.
- For this market to resolve YES, the drug(s) or device must be novel — drug repurposing doesn’t count unless the delivery system is truly novel.
- Surgical and radiological advancements generally will not count: however, surgically implantable devices which are novel and confer a survival benefit do count.
- Market will resolve YES even if the novel treatment is only approved to treat a subset of GBM patients.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will a novel therapeutic/device which confers a survival benefit for glioblastoma be FDA approved by EOY 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Glioblastoma (GBM) is a malignant brain tumor which has an overall survival average of >2 years.