Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 71%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète10 avr. 23, 18:45 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2031?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins the 2024 election, will a human walk on the Moon by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2031.
- (The 2030 market has a large amount of No positions even at 80%, so let's see where people become sure it'll happen!)
- I keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here: @/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
- @/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun
- @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882
- Artemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026