Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.6%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète26 mars 24, 23:08 UTC1 janv. 31, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Smallpox is the only infectious disease to have been eradicated worldwide in Humans.
- It was officially declared eradicated by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 1980, following a successful global vaccination campaign led by the WHO.
- Will the same happen to Malaria before the end of 2030?
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 83,5 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 864,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- 915,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume total
- 4,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Smallpox is the only infectious disease to have been eradicated worldwide in Humans.