Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète3 avr. 24, 03:20 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a baby born on the Moon before Mars?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the first baby be born on Mars?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If by December 31, 2029, any scientist, group, or institution announces the birth of a cloned human baby, and that birth is recognized as legit by the scientific community, that question will be answered with "Yes".
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 8 k €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- 84,1 k €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 652,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,4 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 865,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- 915,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 k €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
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- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030 doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If by December 31, 2029, any scientist, group, or institution announces the birth of a cloned human baby, and that birth is recognized as legit by the scientific community, that question will be answered with "Yes".