Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.7%
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 25, 22:22 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump run for a third term
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump run in the 2028 United States presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if any of the following occur before December 31st, 2028:
- A bill or proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in any congressional committee
- A bill or proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in either chamber of Congress
- A constitutional amendment proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in any congressional committee or chamber
