Prévision communautaire actuelle
@anglospherepoliticsguy 29.2%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+14.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète29 janv. 26, 02:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bitcoin price in 7 days? (100 mana prize, read desc)
Manifold MarketsHow many hours will I study this week? (50 mana prize, see description)
Manifold MarketsWill Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketRègles
https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?tab=leaderboard
- BOTS cant win prizes!
- the PRIZE POOL: (total 5500 Mana)
- 1st: 3150 Mana
- 2nd: 1000 Mana
- 3rd: 500 Mana
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge? ?
- Manifold Markets cote @anglospherepoliticsguy à 29% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who will win the 3150 mana prize for the 2026 NZ election challenge? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?tab=leaderboard