Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrats 60.3%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète12 juin 25, 12:47 UTC6 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election? · Democratic Party 61%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 57%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 66%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? · Democratic 58%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) · Democratic party 59%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-8.0pt69.3%
- Yes+8.0pt30.7%
- Volume total
- 14,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 831,2 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 187,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 495,4 k €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Bibi / Netanyahu+83.0pt99%
- Ukraine+44.0pt99%
- Kamala99%
+31 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 864,2 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027+17.0pt61%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+16.0pt60%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+15.0pt48%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.2pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt35.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.6%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.2%
+38 résultats de plus
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democrats à 60% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2028.
- Comment Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria
- Où Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur ForecastEx, Limitless, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, PredictIt, Kalshi.