Manifold MarketsSans KYCBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrats 60.3%-0.1ptEn tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
12 juin 25, 12:476 nov. 28, 23:59
Tendances
0.1%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democrats60%
Comparer les plateformes· Democrats
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.0 pts2a
+1.0pt59%
41%
0%
+12 résultats de plus
87 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total1,7 M €
Volume 24h7,8 k €
POLYMARKET
Également disponible sur PredictIt
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
3a
57%
46%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.