Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrats 63.8%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète12 juin 25, 12:47 UTC6 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessWho will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party of the candidate who wins the 2028 United States presidential election, scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The winning party will be determined based on the candidate who secures the majority of electoral votes as reported by reputable sources such as the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and major news outlets like The New York Times and CNN.
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election will determine the nation's leadership for the subsequent four years.
- As of June 2025, several potential candidates from both major parties are being discussed:
- Republican Party: Vice President JD Vance is considered a frontrunner, with a 25% chance of winning the 2028 presidential race, according to SportsBettingDime.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
