Prévision communautaire actuelle
Democrats 62.9%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
68
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète27 janv. 25, 17:21 UTC8 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWill the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRègles
Resolves YES for “Democrats” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 democratic party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Republicans” if the winner of the 2028 presidential election is also the 2028 republican party nominee for president.
- Resolves YES for “Other” in any other scenario.
- Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- No Election: If no presidential election takes place in 2028, the market will resolve as Other.
- Outcome Determination: In cases where the winner is disputed or unclear, the resolution will be based on the candidate who is inaugurated at the market's end date.
