Who will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?
Russie / UkraineOne-OffTechEspace13a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
No artificial-gravity station launched by resolution date 28.3%En tête parmi 6 options
No artificial-gravity station launched by resolution date 28.3%Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète19 juil. 26, 17:15 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves when the first crewed orbital space station or station module that generates artificial gravity through continuous rotation becomes operational, with a crew aboard experiencing sustained partial or full gravity produced by that rotation.
- Eligible systems include rotating habitats, wheel stations, torus stations, or centrifuge modules large enough to support normal crew habitation for extended stays.
- The rotation must be the primary means of generating gravity for at least part of the habitable volume.
- The market resolves to the country or region of the organization primarily responsible for developing and operating the station or module.
- If responsibility is genuinely shared between organizations from multiple listed options, the market resolves to "Other".
- Does not count
