Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
US PoliticsManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleKetanji Brown Jackson 22.4%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète9 avr. 24, 14:44 UTC17 avr. 21, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
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PolymarketRègles
The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.
- I will add options as new justices are sworn in.
- I will resolve a justice's market with a percentage when they leave office, either by stepping down, being removed or by death.
- The n-th person to leave will be resolved with (n-1)%.
- For instance, the first justice to leave will be resolved with NO, and the second one with 1%.
- All justices that step down after the 100th will be resolved with YES.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Ketanji Brown Jackson à 22% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? doit être résolu le 17 avril 2121.
- Comment Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The idea of this market is to predict the order in which justices will leave office.