Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleElon Musk 100%En tête parmi 61 options
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète27 nov. 25, 00:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Dwarkesh Patel be a NYT bestselling author before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be guest on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast?
Manifold MarketsUpOnly podcast: Guests this year
KalshiIf Dwarkesh Patel arm wrestled Trenton bricken, would he win?
Manifold MarketsThe Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast.
- The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.
- Any submissions made after the podcast episode is released to the public will be N/A'd.
- Dwarkesh Patel option note
- Will resolve YES if there is an episode where he is interviewed, like the AMA episode from 25th March 2025
- Update 2026-02-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Collaborative episodes (where Dwarkesh collaborates with another podcast/creator) will count for resolution purposes if the episode appears on the Dwarkesh podcast feed and YouTube channel.
