KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Brian Armstrong 19%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
5,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
21 oct. 25, 16:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?
Manifold MarketsThe Joe Rogan Experience: Guests in 2026
KalshiCall Her Daddy: Guests this year
KalshiJimmy Kimmel: Guests in 2026
KalshiSarah Paine 2026 Podcast appearance
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If GCR is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour UpOnly podcast: Guests this year ?
- Kalshi cote Brian Armstrong à 19% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand UpOnly podcast: Guests this year sera-t-il résolu ?
- UpOnly podcast: Guests this year doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment UpOnly podcast: Guests this year est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome is on the UpOnly Podcast before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.