Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2035-2036 17.6%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 24, 19:14 UTC1 janv. 50, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the construction of the space hotel Voyager Station begin in 2026?
Manifold MarketsConstruction of the space hotel Voyager Station to begin by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the Voyager Station space hotel receive its first guests in 2027?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRègles
Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.
- Due to dimishing radioactiv power a lot of instruments had to shut down, but the probe is still able to send data.
- Even though that takes 22.5h one way and currently only transmits glitched data this counts for the purpose of this market.
- This market will resolve to the year in which the last successful communication with the probe will be made.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2035-2036 à 18% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Which year do we lose contact with Voyager 1? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Voyager 1 is still on its way to outer space and currently (Jan. 2024) 24.4 billion km away from earth.