Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleThe Democratic Party 78.8%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
142
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète11 nov. 23, 12:15 UTC8 nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which US political party will be the more "pro-AI" party at the time of the 2028 presidential debates?
Manifold MarketsWhich political party wins the US presidency in 2028?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This is a "vibes" market not a policy analysis market.
- So things that indicate a YES would be one party's leaders talking about the dangers of AI while the other party says we need to race to beat China, regardless of the actual contents of legislation, regulations, orders, etc. I should hope this will be obvious by market close.
- This market will not resolve early, nor be extended.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4 k €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Volume total
- 384,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,4 k €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Handicap: KBG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)+59.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Volume total
- 25,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 24,9 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 22,3 k €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party? ?
- Manifold Markets cote The Democratic Party à 79% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party? doit être résolu le 8 novembre 2028.
- Comment Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This is a "vibes" market not a policy analysis market.