Which party will win the popular vote in New Jersey in the 2028 presidential election?
2.8 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 87.6%+2.8ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+2.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 26, 00:54 UTC8 nov. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will win the popular vote in Colorado in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the popular vote in Minnesota in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the popular vote in Virginia in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWhich states will join the National Popular Vote Compact?
KalshiThird-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in New Jersey in the November 7, 2028 election, per New Jersey's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how New Jersey awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if New Jersey holds no popular vote for President.
