Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Washington's 4th District?
0.5 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleRepublican Party 96.7%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 26, 03:43 UTC8 nov. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?
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PredictItWill Michael Baumgartner win the Washington 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves to the party that wins the November 7, 2028 U.S. House election in Washington's 4th District: whichever district is numbered 4 on the map in effect for that election.
- N/A if that map has no district numbered 4.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called the race and no recount could change it.
- N/A if no election for this seat is held.
