Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle200 100%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète28 mai 26, 01:01 UTC28 oct. 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I lose my current job by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiRègles
At time of market creation, I have a 116 day streak in the Bunpro Japanese vocabulary and grammar app,, starting from the first time I used Bunpro.
- I currently intend to continue practising using it indefinitely.
- How many of the listed thresholds will it pass before it breaks? Answers resolve YES when the streak reaches the given number of days, e.g. 200 would be expected to resolve YES in 84 days if the streak is unbroken.
- All answers not already thus resolved YES resolve NO the first time a streak is broken.
- Use of vacation mode counts as breaking the streak, unless practice happens anyway or there is a site outage (see later)..
- Disruptive life events, accidents, etc preventing practice count as breaking the streak.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 622,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 579,5 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 411,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 411,6 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 200 à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? doit être résolu le 28 octobre 2028.
- Comment Which of the following thresholds will my current Bunpro streak reach? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : At time of market creation, I have a 116 day streak in the Bunpro Japanese vocabulary and grammar app,, starting from the first time I used Bunpro.