Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)
IAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleClaude Saga 18.8%En tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète14 juin 26, 02:36 UTC31 déc. 29, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Anthropic names Claude model tiers with single words: poetic forms first (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus), then narrative/myth forms (Fable, Mythos).
- This market tracks which new words join that series.
- Each answer is a candidate in the form "Claude [Word]".
- Add your own.
- Answers are independent, so more than one can resolve YES.
- An answer resolves YES when its word first appears as an official Claude tier or family name in any of: the Anthropic model docs (docs.claude.com), an anthropic.com blog or launch post, or a live API model string.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Claude Saga à 19% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Anthropic names Claude model tiers with single words: poetic forms first (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus), then narrative/myth forms (Fable, Mythos).